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Post by fitz on Jul 23, 2020 7:28:54 GMT -6
fitz bernie do either of you routinely watch Suspicious Observers? If that or one like it, would you be willing to simply announce a likely upcoming quake in this thread? Like if two or a few days ago it was said "watch for something around this area and date" Id love to see it predicted then it happens. I know it doesnt work all the time but... (I tried his site and another or two but dont follow well) You guys are in tune with this topic. What Natalie said. Dutchsinse has his finger on the pulse of this stuff. He is right way too often for his prediction method to be a fluke, predicting EQ's within 1 magnitude, within 200 miles of a given location and within a 7 day period. And, he does it regularly. His method seems pretty simple...anyone can do it. I have not because it would be a bit time consuming, but I think once you learn it well, then prediction becomes easy and fairly accurate. USGS thinks it is a sham, but I haven't seen them predict any quakes, ever. I think it's a case of him making very logical assumptions based on simple observations over a period of time...cause and effect, whereas the scientists can't see the forest for the trees. |
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Post by Natalie on Jul 23, 2020 8:55:42 GMT -6
here you go:
He recaps the Alaska and China earthquakes and then about 6 minutes or so issues warnings for Iran, Turkey, and the North Pole.
I haven't watched the rest of the video, but it's a rather short one at 18 min or so.
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Post by mike on Jul 23, 2020 9:43:36 GMT -6
so does that mean he is saying there will something for Iran, Turkey soon?
EDIT - ok listened to about half way. So in the next few days we should see something in those areas followed by north pole. Also a warning for Idaho in the next 7
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Post by Natalie on Jul 23, 2020 10:03:39 GMT -6
Yes, I think he usually says within about a week. A lot of times he is right. My understanding is that he is forecasting earthquakes and not really predicting them. It's kind of like weather forecasting. They study models and what they know of how weather works and they make a forecast. Sometimes it's right on and sometimes it's a miss. Dutch has studied patterns and plate boundaries and past events in order to forecast potential earthquakes. Sometimes the time period goes by and nothing happens so he cancels the warning. But many times the area he warns does get hit. So, yes, I would say look and see if Iran gets hit in the next week and also the area right below Turkey.
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Post by bernie on Jul 23, 2020 10:20:32 GMT -6
mike,natalie, I have watched some of his videos, but I don't do it regularly.
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Post by bernie on Jul 23, 2020 10:21:51 GMT -6
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Post by bernie on Jul 26, 2020 9:39:31 GMT -6
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Post by fitz on Jul 28, 2020 6:32:27 GMT -6
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Post by rockito on Aug 1, 2020 12:37:31 GMT -6
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Post by bernie on Aug 1, 2020 14:23:02 GMT -6
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Post by bernie on Aug 5, 2020 9:40:15 GMT -6
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Post by bernie on Aug 6, 2020 19:43:28 GMT -6
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Post by rockito on Aug 7, 2020 14:04:56 GMT -6
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Post by fitz on Aug 9, 2020 7:23:08 GMT -6
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Post by bernie on Aug 12, 2020 20:49:11 GMT -6
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